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SpaceX: Japanese billionaire to be first

But SpaceX now plans to build the BFR, which stands for Big Falcon Rocket, a much more powerful launcher that could boost 100-ton payloads to Mars. Musk estimated the cost of the BFR's development at around $5 billion.

The two-stage rocket is 387 feet long. The first stage is powered by 31 advanced Raptor engines burning liquid oxygen and methane. The winged upper stage is 180 feet long, features more than 1,000 cubic meters of pressurized volume and is powered by seven Raptor engines.

 

Two of its three tail fins will change position during atmospheric entry to control the spacecraft's orientation, descent rate and trajectory before assuming a nose-up, vertical position and landing upright on its three fins.

The planned trajectory of SpaceX's BFR rocket will carry it on a looping path around the moon before returning to Earth with a rocket-powered tail-first landing. The trip is expected to last four or five days. SPACEX

Musk said SpaceX is testing the Raptor engines and building components that will be used in eventual test flights. If all goes well, he said, orbital test flights could begin in two or three years.

Asked how confident he is about meeting the 2023 target date for Maezawa's voyage to the moon, Musk admitted "we are definitely not sure. We've been pretty unsure about prior dates, too."

"If I had some sort of crystal ball, I'd love to know how long something might take," he said. "But you have to set some kind of date." he referred to the 2023 target as a "things-go-right date."

"There are so many uncertainties," he said. "This is a ridiculously big rocket, it's got so much advanced technology. It's not 100 percent certain that we succeed in getting this to flight. I think it's pretty likely, but it's not certain. But we're going to do everything possible to bring it to flight as fast as we can, as safely as we can."

Musk went out of his way to reassure NASA and the Pentagon that honoring existing contracts to launch national security payloads, cargo missions to the International Space Station and Dragon flights to ferry astronauts to the lab complex remain SpaceX's top priorities.

He said SpaceX currently devotes only about 5 percent of its resources to the BFR program, cut added that figure will ramp up quickly in the years ahead as the rocket matures.

"The purpose for SpaceX, the reason for creating SpaceX was to accelerate the advent of humanity becoming a space fairing civilization, to help advance rocket technology to a point where we could potentially become a multi-planet species and a true space-faring civilization," he said.

"As we consider the fossil record, the history of civilization, it's important to bear in mind there could be some natural event or some man-made event that ends civilization as we know it. So it's important that we try to become a multi-planet civilization, extend life beyond Earth and to do so as quickly as we can."

Musk announced the moon mission three months before the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 8 flight that sent astronauts Frank Borman, James Lovell and William Anders on a flight to orbit the moon. That Christmas Eve, the crew famously read from the book of Genesis as they passed 60 miles above he lunar surface.

It was the first mission to send humans beyond low-Earth orbit and it is still considered one of NASA's most daring flights. The Apollo 11 moon landing came the following July. Five more Apollo crews flew to the moon before the program ended in 1972. No one has been back since.

NASA plans to launch astronauts on a trip into an orbit beyond the moon during the second flight of the agency's new Space Launch System rocket in the 2022 timeframe, nearly 55 years after Apollo 8.

The agency eventually plans to build a small space station in orbit around the moon that will serve as a technology testbed and jumping off point for descents to the lunar surface and, eventually, on to Mars.

NASA is encouraging commercial development of low-Earth orbit and is expected to seek private-sector help building the lunar gateway and other components. How the BFR might play into those long-range plans remains to be seen.

But NASA already is relying on the California rocket builder to help carry cargo and crews to the space station and a rocket like the BFR might prove an attractive spacecraft for a variety of missions. Assuming, of course, that Musk can round up the necessary funding and test flights demonstrate its safety.

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